Thursday, 30 April 2015

Hierarchy of Financial Sufficiency




A noted American psychologist developed a hierarchy of needs based on human psychology- Abraham Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs. The pyramid describes the level for the needs in human life cycle from basic to self-fulfillment needs. The bottom is physiological needs (What food I need to eat?) to the top of the triangle (What’s my purpose in life?), which can only fulfilled once basic needs are taken care of.

The same theory can be applied in money matters through financial priority triangle. We need to identify the first level towards meeting our financial milestone and keep moving ahead to reach the next level. Sounds simple? Sure, it is.
 

Cash flow management is the first step towards financial uplift. It is critical to understand that ideal scenario is income exceeds expenses. But, if that may not be the case, then our financial security is in jeopardy. As higher expenses not only increases debt but also reduce savings and future potential growth of capital. Hence, the focus needs to be either to increase income and/or reduce the expenses.
The equation needs to be:
Income- Expenses= Savings
The next step is to understand level of debt in personal balance sheet. It is essential to understand the type of debt held in terms on appreciating assets including education, property and precious metals and avoid holding debt on deprecating assets like car, travel, gadgets and vehicles. The idea behind is to understand that our liabilities should not eat away our saving opportunities.

As interest payment towards debt not only hampers current savings level, but also makes us lose opportunities to grow our savings through investments.
Understanding our cash flows, provides us an overview of the way the money is managed- in building assets or creating liabilities. It is essential to comprehend the budgeting and attain asset-liability management, as it impacts the savings rate and potential to achieve future financial goals.

It is important to achieve the discipline in savings for future financial aspirations, as saved money can be invested for tomorrow.  Furthermore, it is imperative to increase the net savings rate through minimizing financial leakages including taxes, interest payment, and credit card dues. The simple method is Know your goals. Invest your savings. Optimize portfolio performance.

But, investing the money is not where it ends all, it is equally significant to track the investment performance of the portfolio and at minimum match the performance to the benchmark index. The focus should be to align your goals, risk appetite and time horizon rather picking top performers or hot stocks. Nevertheless, portfolio performance is one of the important parameter to maximize the goals- but other parameters include knowing the sector allocation, risk allocation, distribution among risky and less risky assets. Thus, at the top of the pyramid is optimizing portfolio performance and employ strategy that maximizes goal achievement. As the objective, is to move up the ladder from financial security to sufficiency and wealth creation.         

    

Monday, 2 March 2015

Baby Steps for Indian Economy: One Budget at a time!


Less than 24 hours remaining for the most awaited day of the year- this time not longed for its weekend-but for the first full year budget, to be presented by NDA led BJP Prime Minister’s Narendra Modi’s government; after their historic win in May’14 elections. This year’s pre-budget rally is like silent reaction as against its extreme- as it was last year 2014 before the budget as well as elections.

Everyone marks their day for the last Saturday of the month- 28 February 2015; as many questions wait to be answered; many doubts wait to be cleared. Market stay cleared off the volatility this time, as investors wait to react to new happenings, as it seems to have absorbed the speeches and promises by our new government. Now, it is like they are asking for what more and better is there to digest around.

Investors have already reflected the optimism and confidence for the new government. Now, what they are aspiring is the delivery of their promises; now empty words won’t make any impact- but actions will. We are well aware of what you look forward to do but our main concern stays how shall you achieve what you have already said.

Today market is trading at 29,000+ points with valuations looking stretched at 18.09x 1-year forward. The market focuses on the action plan of the government as they remain the confident that government’s intent and purpose is clear, pure and goal-oriented.
Investors state their expectations for this year’s budget and request that actions say louder than words:


1.       Fiscal consolidation

Markets expects government to bring in quality in public finances and to keep the fiscal path intact with 4.1%, 3.6% and 3.0% target of the GDP in FY15,FY16 and FY17 respectively. Also, anticipates the reduction in subsidy spending by 0.4% and alternatively, increase the capital expenditure. (ING Vysya Bank, 2015). Given that the government is close to 90% fiscal target; the challenge remains how government shall focus on value-creating assets, decrease its interest outgo and improve its current tax-to-GDP ratio of 10.6%.

Its remains in critical factor for future monetary policy, equity markets and debt bond yields- as fiscal consolidation shall ‘make or break’ the future growth story of India. It is a key to macroeconomic stability and RBI has kept its eyes and ears glued to it.       
  
2.       Revival of investment cycle

Corporate continue to struggle with high interest rate, weak demand and low capital expenditure cycle. Hence, to ensure the economic revival it is critical for the government to increase savings and investment ratio from 30% to late-30% and rationalize the allocation of resources to important sectors including railways, defense, power, capital goods and manufacturing. The government should rightly focus on making India as investment-growth economy rather than being consumption-driven.
Ease of doing business, stable tax regime, managing inflation and routing financial savings to long-term infrastructure and economic developments plays a critical part in reviving both investment and consumption cycle.

3.       Simplified taxation regime

To boost the ease of doing business as well as stabilize the taxation system, it is critical for the government to focus on streamlining the tax structure and introduce a well-defined process for taxation. The workings and development of Goods & Services Tax (GST), Direct Tax Code (DTC) should be focused on. Clarity in Minimum Alternate Tax (MAT) framework, dispute settlement mechanism, Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and Alternate Investment Funds (AIFs) should be presented.
Government also needs to focus on increasing its tax revenues and optimize on its tax administration; as government’s income-expenditure sheet should define India’s future growth story.

4.       Infrastructure development

Advancement of an economy is defined through its infrastructure, which not only includes roads, power, transport, and real estate but also quality of education and health services granted its citizens. As it not helps in improving the economic development but also ensures competiveness and healthy business climate. Hence, ‘Make in India’ is expected to not only focus on manufacturing but also transform India’s economic future as it shall lead to expansion in job market as well as skill development.

5.       Reform-focused

NDA led BJP government won May 2014 elections through its speeches as ‘pro-growth, pro-business and pro-reform’ government. It is time from them, to stick by their words and demonstrate an action plan. Government should focus on reforms including taxation, investments, infrastructure, policies and resources. It is critical for the government to ease its land acquisition, labor laws, acquisition and pricing of machinery and capital-raising for it to boost its agriculture, manufacturing and services industry.   

Economic inclusion, fiscal consolation and ‘Make in India’ remain defining parameters for Budget 2015 to be presented by Finance Minster Mr. Arun Jaitley.            
But on the darker side, analysts and India Inc expects market to react negatively, if budget fails to deliver its promises. A fall of 6-8% (Mint, 2014) is expected in equity markets if the government Additionally, rise by 25-30 bps in expected in the bond yields if fiscal consolidation roadmap is left un-adhered to. This sell-off may also lead currency plunging to 64-65/$. Thus, market looks around in observant manner, waiting to react to announcements to be led by our Honorable Finance Minister.



Saturday, 31 January 2015

Saving taxes through investments: The ELSS way

As the year-end proceeds, tax savers awaken- just like laggards during examination preparation. As a financial advisor, I would recommend not to, as tax planning should be considered as an annual practice rather than single quarter/ monthly process.
Nevertheless, hereby I present you with various financial savings/ investments instruments that are available u/s 80C including PPF, provident fund, life insurance premiums, NSC, ULIPs, 5-year locked-in bank FD, ELSS, Home loan re-payment, children’s tuition fees. Avenues like EPF are mandatory for salaried class, tuition fees and home loan are expenses, and insurance-related products are protection. Thus, among investments we have limited options with following characteristics:
In terms of long term returns and shortest investment period ELSS gains an edge over other investments as:
1. It is a well-diversified open-ended equity mutual fund investment with minimum of 80% assets invested in equities, qualifies u/s 80C of IT Act.
2. Both dividends and capital gains are tax-free as it has 3-year lock-in period.
3. Current limit u/s 80C is 1.5 lakh if invested in ELSS, can help you save Rs.20, 085, Rs. 35,535 and Rs. 50,985 with a tax effect of 13.39%, 23.69% and 33.99% respectively.
4. Moreover, you can churn the same investment after lock-in period to attain the tax benefit. Thus, ELSS forms as an appropriate tool for tax-savings, long-term wealth creation and investment product.
Following ELSS are recommended based on qualitative and quantitative analysis-
Quality ELSS funds has offered higher risk-adjusted returns over their comparative counterparts over long-term, mainly because of difference in asset allocation and distribution within market capitalization. Nevertheless, it is recommended to invest in both ELSS and diversified open-ended as latter has the flexibility built-in.
Wishing you all- Happy Tax Saving!